Klse stock Pick with buy signals for 27th Oct 2014

Dear readers,

Pick for today.

Lonbisc. Entry 0.705. Target 0.80. Stop 0.66. Landmark entry 1.18. Target 1.24. Stop 1.10

Regards,
Keith

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Singapore Stocks Pick: Mencast

Mencast (SGD0.58) BUY (TP: SGD0.76) Enterprise Of The Year Mencast received the Enterprise of the Year award at yesterday evening’s Singapore Business Awards presentation dinner. Other preeminent companies that have won this award include Tee Yih Jia Food Manufacturing, Super and The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf. The win reinforces our view of Mencast as a long-term growth player in the oil & gas (O&G) industry. We maintain our BUY call and SGD0.76 TP. Excellence in all criteria.

 The Enterprise of the Year Award recognises companies along four criteria: i) innovation record, ii) entrepreneurial skills, iii) growth record, and iv) financial performance. Mencast has indeed successfully reinvented itself to encompass multiple points in the maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) business along the O&G value chain from just a sterngear manufacturer initially.

  History as a guide. Tee Yih Jia Food Manufacturing Pte Ltd, whose executive chairman Sam Goi won the Businessman of the Year Award last night, was the first Enterprise of the Year Award winner in 1986. Recent winners include Super (SUPER SP; BUY; TP: SGD3.99) in 2012, The Coffee Bean & Tea Leaf in 2011 and YCH Group Pte Ltd in 2010. If history is any guide, we hope to see Mencast achieving the same prominence in the O&G industry as these others have in theirs.

Sending a strong positive signal to all stakeholders. We believe that this award sends a strong signal to all stakeholders on Mencast’s sustainability and growth potential. We continue to see clear sources of growth in each of its offshore and Engineering, Marine, and Energy divisions, notwithstanding the labour supply issues in Singapore. Its heavy investment in automation and productivity improvements should begin to bear fruit this year.

Maintain BUY with SGD0.76 TP unchanged.

This award serves to reinforce our view of Mencast as a long-term growth player in the O&G industry. Our TP is based on 12x recurring FY14F P/E, which is a conservative multiple for its 80% core earnings growth potential this year.

  Source:DMG

Singapore Stock Picks: Osim International BUY TP(SGD2.60)

OSIM International: SGD2.39 BUY (TP: SGD2.60) Growth Momentum To Continue OSIM's 4Q13 PATAMI surged 22.1% y-o-y to SGD27.6m, on the back of strong revenue growth of 15.5% y-o-y. The PATAMI growth was boosted by a SGD42m FV gain at its subsidiary, TWG Tea. Business volume is expected to remain positive, supported by the region's demand for lifestyle products. We are keeping our BUY recommendation and DCF based TP of SGD2.60. Revenue growth likely to continue. OSIM's 4Q13 results met our expectations. The revenue growth was attributed to healthy take-up rates of its products, particularly uInfinity and uAngel, as well as contributions from TWG Tea (TWG), which became a subsidiary in 4Q13 after OSIM increased its stake in TWG to 53.7%. OSIM subsequently raised its stake further to 70%. We expect continued revenue growth for FY14-15, as OSIM is set to benefit from rising demand for its products given its ongoing marketing initiatives, as well as from increased y-o-y contributions from TWG. Outlook to remain healthy. OSIM has been sticking to its strategy of riding on celebrity appeal to reach out to customers in the region, which so far has paid off for the company. We believe this strategy would continue to work well, as OSIM has established itself as Asia's No.1 brand in well-being and healthy lifestyle products, supported by rising purchasing power of households in the region, especially China. Maintain BUY, SGD2.60 TP. OSIM declared a final dividend of SGD0.02/share, bringing the total dividend for FY13 to SGD0.06/share. We remain positive on OSIM as it is a proxy to the region's growing demand for lifestyle products. Its balance sheet

Singapore Stock Picks: Nam Cheong - BUY with a target price of SGD0.41). Upside Potential of 41 %)

Nam Cheong: SGD0.29 BUY (TP: SGD0.41) Record Quarterly Profit And Strong Guidance NCL posted a 3Q13 PATMI record of MYR58.7m (+86% y-o-y) – driven by its historic MYR1.7bn orderbook on hand, with shipbuilding gross margins surprising on the upside at 22.8% (2Q13: 17.3%). Thus, we increase our top-of-street FY13F/14F/15F estimates by 4/7/5% and raise our TP to SGD0.41 (from SGD0.39). One of our Top Picks, NCL combines 39% growth, 25% ROE, low 0.12x net gearing and healthy cashflow on a undemanding 7x FY14F P/E. • Strongest-ever quarter with better things to come. NCL’s bottomline beat our MYR50m preview estimate by MYR8.7m, as its 23% shipbuilding margin was even higher than our top-of-street forecast. While we expect a normalisation to the 18-20% range, margins should continue to enjoy support from higher-margin platform supply vessels (PSVs) and work-boats or -barges, which form >50% of expected future vessel sales by value. Our S-curve revenue model indicates that strong topline growth in the coming quarters (on its record MYR1.7bn orderbook) will continue to drive earnings growth. • A “happy” CNY dividend. Management remained coy on dividend guidance. We did detect a strong optimistic tone, with chairman Datuk Tiong Su Kouk expecting a “happy” dividend upon FY13 results being announced and a final dividend declaration during the Chinese New Year in CY14. Supported by its low 0.12x net gearing and healthy operational cash flow, we raise our payout ratio assumption to 25% from 20%, which translates into an attractive 3.1-4.3% yield from FY13F-15F. • Targeting a market share increase. NCL now has a shallow-water offshore support vessel (OSV) global market share of about 12%, up 10% from a year ago. Over the next three years, management sees room to improve on this, which we interpret to mean that a healthy growth rate is sustainable over the next 3-5 years. • Raise estimates, TP increased to SGD0.41. We raise our top-of-street FY13F/14F/15F estimates by 4/7/5% on the stronger margin outlook. This increases our TP to SGD0.41 (from SGD0.39), based on 10x blended FY13F/14F EPS. NCL remains one of our Top Picks for its 39% growth, 25% ROE, healthy cash flow and low 0.12x net gearing, for which investors are only paying 7x FY14F P/E. Maintain BUY

Singapore Stock Picks: Ezion Holdings BUY (Target Price SGD2.65)

Ezion Holdings: SGD2.11 BUY (TP: SGD2.65) Strong Earnings From Bigger Fleet Of Service Rigs Ezion reported solid 3Q13 net profit of USD38.2m (+137% y-o-y) thanks to higher revenue from service rigs and logistics support operations in Australia. We maintain our FY13-15F EPS estimates pending an update with management. The strong set of results reaffirmed our BUY rating on the stock. Our SGD2.65 TP is based on 16x blended FY13/14F EPS. 3Q13 earnings above expectations. 3Q13 net profit surged by +137% y-o-y to USD38.2m, thanks to higher revenue (+97% y-o-y) from the deployment of more service rigs and contributions from offshore logistics support services in Australia. Excluding a USD18m gain from disposal, 9M13 core net profit of USD103m (+127% y-o-y) accounted for 78% of our FY13 forecast. We believe the stronger-than-expected earnings were boosted by solid operations in Australia and lower interest expenses arising from interest capitalised for assets under construction. Balance sheet gearing at 1.05x. Ezion ended 3Q13 with a gross debt of USD1bn and gross cash of USD209m. Cash generation was in line with our estimate - 9M13 net inflow from operating activities was at USD82.8m. We expect net gearing to stay at around 1.0x by end-FY13. Assuming no new capex, net gearing will fall to 0.86x in FY14F and 0.52x in FY15F. We believe the current gearing level is not aggressive, as the business is supported by long-term charter contracts. USD1.9bn charter backlog. Ezion has won nine new charter contracts worth USD584m in 2013 and we estimate a total charter backlog of around USD1.9bn. More service rigs are expected to start deployment in 4Q13 and we see an upside risk to our FY13 EPS estimates. Based on its existing pipeline, Ezion’s fleet will grow to 29 units by FY15. Maintain BUY with SGD2.65 TP. At our TP, the stock is valued at 11x FY14F P/E. We like Ezion for its strong earnings visibility and growth, and undemanding valuation of 9x FY14F P/E. We expect the robust demand for service rigs to translate into more new charters for the company.

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